EconPol Forum

EconPol Forum (formerly CESifo Forum) is a bi-monthly English-language journal to bring economic analysis on topics of worldwide interest along with policy advice to a broad range of policymakers and the public.

In September 2022 the CESifo Forum was restructured into four sections under the new EconPol brand. The first, Policy Debate of the Hour, recognizes the constantly evolving nature of policy challenges, focusing on the most pressing issues of the times. Leading researchers are invited to share their insights and policy conclusions. The Economic Policy and its Impact section assesses economic policies and develops robust evidence for their optimal design and implementation. In the Institutions Across the World section, contributors focus on the key role that institutional design plays in shaping socio-economic outcomes, often by comparing institutions across economic and political systems. Finally, Big Data-Based Economic Insights presents articles that glean economic policy advice from the exploitation of large, complex datasets.

The Impact of Working from Home on the German Office Real Estate Market

BIG-DATA-BASED ECONOMIC INSIGHTS

Simon Krause, Andreas Trumpp, Tobias Dichtl, Susanne Kiese and Alexander Rutsch

A quarter of employees in Germany regularly work from home (WFH), which is often a mixture of office and remote working. The office market in this country is undergoing a stress test and the steady shift to WFH will significantly reduce demand for office space in the long term.

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US Presidential Election 2024: What’s Next for Global Politics and the World Economy?

Chang Woon Nam, Barry Eichengreen, Anders Aslund, Kimberly A. Clausing, William McBride, Erica York, Markus Jaeger, Andreas Baur, Lisandra Flach, Dorothee Hillrichs, Mark N. Katz, Valentino Larcinese, Pádraig Carmody, Paul S. Ciccantell

On November 5 of this year, American voters will have a choice between former Republican President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, who was named the Democratic nominee after President Joe Biden’s decision not to run for the presidency again. A record number of countries are holding elections this year, but this US presidential election is likely to be one of the most important due to the country’s influence on the global stage. Although the world is currently suffering from wars, rising tensions between major powers, and other geopolitical risks, most of these have not radically affected the outlook for economies and markets in the short term. However, many fear that this could change if the US returns to an aggressive “America First” stance. On the other hand, Harris is seen as the candidate of political continuity who will maintain many of Biden’s economic and foreign policy measures.

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Entrepreneurship in the United States and Germany: Attaining the Promise of Innovation

INSTITUTIONS ACROSS THE WORLD

David B. Audretsch

Both Germany and the US are among the most innovative and entrepreneurially ac-tive countries in the world. Nevertheless, they face different challenges: the strengthening of incremental innovative entrepreneurship in Germany versus the continuous promotion of radical and disruptive entrepreneurship in the US.

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How to Ensure Defense Capabilities for Europe? Economic and Fiscal Consequences

Roel Beetsma, Marco Buti and Francesco Nicoli, Lucas Hellemeier and Kaija Schilde, Niklas Helwig and Tuomas Iso-Markku, Nicholas Marsh, Bruno Oliveira Martins and Jocelyn Mawdsley, Mikkel Vedby Rasmussen, Lucie Béraud-Sudreau

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has raised the question of whether the issue of external border security and defense needs to be more closely integrated within the European Union. Many proposals are under discussion aimed at assigning the EU with tasks that are currently performed at national level. Most EU members have increased their defense spending in the past year or plan to do so soon. However, whether an EU defense union is politically achievable remains controversial. It entails additional costs and ‒ even more importantly ‒ the member states would have to give up some of their sovereignty. The project is linked to the plan to build a robust and efficient defense industry. This is because European arms production has so far suffered from national fragmentation and chronic underfunding.

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