Overview publications

The Importance of Resilience and Integration for the Future European Financial System

Karlheinz Walch and Benjamin Weigert

The idea of a Banking Union emerged in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Ten years on, two of its three pillars, the Single Supervisory Mechanism and the Single Resolution Mechanism, have proven to be a success with regard to financial integration and stability. In this Policy Brief, experts from the Deutsche Bundesbank explain why, in times of structural change, it is crucial to complete the Banking Union and advance the Capital Markets Union.

... Details

Overregulation in the EU? How to Boost Competitiveness with Smarter Legal Frameworks

Béatrice Dumont, Jan Blockx, Bertin Martens, Fredrik Erixon and Oscar Guinea, Gabriel Felbermayr and Klaus Friesenbichler, Thomas Weck, Oliver Falck, Yuchen Mo Guo and Christian Pfaffl

In recent years, the EU has significantly shaped framework conditions in areas such as data protection, consumer health and safety, environmental protection, the supply chain, and antitrust law. However, the EU’s overregulation in some areas is seen not as beneficial, but as a detrimental factor limiting innovation, competition and growth. The EU now needs better, evidence-based regulation ensuring that its legislation is drafted in a transparent and inclusive manner and is as simple and targeted as possible to reduce unnecessary bureaucracy burdens and costs.

... Details

The Slow End of the ICE Age in Germany: Insights from Job Postings on the Automotive Industry’s Trajectory

BIG-DATA-BASED ECONOMIC INSIGHTS

Thomas A. Fackler, Oliver Falck, Moritz Goldbeck, Fabian Hans and Annina T. Hering

Against the backdrop of the current debate about phasing out the internal combustion engine (ICE) in Germany and in order to observe where the industry is heading, job advertisements are analyzed that provide insights into the ongoing strategic shifts in the automotive sector.

... Details

Ukrainian Refugees’ Return Intentions and Integration in the Course of Time

ECONOMIC POLICY AND ITS IMPACT

Joop Adema, Cevat Giray Aksoy, Yvonne Giesing and Panu Poutvaara

Analyses on the return intentions of Ukrainian refugees based on survey data show that most of them still plan to return, but that the proportion of those who want to settle outside their country has risen steadily over time.

... Details

International Collaboration in Digital Knowledge Work: A Production-Side Assessment of Europe’s Digital Single Market

BIG-DATA-BASED ECONOMIC INSIGHTS

Lena Abou El-Komboz and Moritz Goldbeck

Low market integration is a key barrier to European competitiveness in the digital economy. International collaboration of knowledge workers could help realize market size advantage. European digital single market policymaking should address production-side barriers.

... Details

Building a Stronger Single Market: Potential for Deeper Integration of the Services Sector within the EU

Florian Dorn, Lisandra Flach and Isabella Gourevich

This Policy Report shows that reducing barriers and better harmonizing regulations within the EU would deepen the integration of the EU internal market for trade in services. This would lead to gains in value added across all sectors, strengthening Europe's economy and competitiveness and generating substantial welfare gains.

... Details

Defense Spending for Europe’s Security – How Much Is Enough?

Florian Dorn

Defense spending above the NATO target of 2 percent of gross domestic product would be necessary for Europe to be able to defend itself without the protective umbrella of the United States. This is the conclusion of the new EconPol Policy Brief. European countries would have to significantly increase their efforts to catch up with an adequate defense capability, as defense budgets and military investments have been too low for years. Europe must compensate for higher real military costs than, for example, in Russia or China.

... Details

Who’s Afraid of Trump in the White House? How German Firms View the US Election

Andreas Baur, Lisandra Flach, Sebastian Link and Andreas Peichl

How do German firms view the upcoming US election and a possible second Donald Trump presidency? As part of the ifo Business Survey in September 2024, more than 2,000 German manufacturing firms were asked about the US election. 44 percent of German manufacturing firms anticipate negative impacts on their business situation if Donald Trump wins the election, compared to a potential Kamala Harris presidency.

... Details