The Effect of Trump Tariffs on Mexico and Canada

The Impact of Trump Tariffs on Mexico and Canada

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Policy Brief
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US President Donald Trump’s 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico would trigger a decline of 28% in Canadian exports, 35% in Mexican and 22% in US exports, if retaliatory tariffs are imposed. Mexico’s and Canada’s manufacturing sectors would suffer the most, with value-added losses of 13% and 14%, respectively. In the U.S., the agricultural sector would take the biggest hit, facing a 2.4% drop in value added.