Ukrainian Refugees’ Return Intentions and Integration in the Course of Time
ECONOMIC POLICY AND ITS IMPACT
Key Messages
- Most Ukrainians plan to return, but the share of Ukrainian refugees planning to settle outside of Ukraine has gradually increased and reached 25 percent by mid-2024
- By June 2024, 12 percent of Ukrainian refugees had returned to Ukraine and 7 percent had moved to another host country compared to 2022
- Liberation of certain districts in late 2022 increased the probability of people from there returning to Ukraine by 5 percentage points
- Local conflict in home municipality has redirected return to other parts of Ukraine, without reducing the overall probability of returning
- The EU should encourage Ukrainian refugees to return once the conflict is over, but also help them to find work while under temporary protection
Abstract
Analyses on the return intentions of Ukrainian refugees based on survey data show that most of them still plan to return, but that the proportion of those who want to settle outside their country has risen steadily over time.
Series
Links
Citation
Joop Adema, Cevat Giray Aksoy, Yvonne Giesing and Panu Poutvaara: "Ukrainian Refugees’ Return Intentions and Integration in the Course of Time," EconPol Forum 25 (6), CESifo, Munich, 2024.