How Well-Intentioned Measures Have Unintended Consequences for Election Turnout

BIG-DATA-BASED ECONOMIC INSIGHTS

Jean-Victor Alipour and Valentin Lindlacher

Key Messages

  • Reassigning citizens to vote at a different polling place causes a persistent shift from in-person to mail-in voting and a transitory drop in total turnout
  • The turnout loss is driven by inattentive voters, who miss the deadline for requesting a mail-in ballot
  • The effects are more driven by the reassignment itself and less by the changes in distance to the polling location
  • Explicit notification about polling place reassignments could prevent losses in turnout
Abstract

Well-intentioned measures such as polling place reassignments can have unintend-ed consequences, such as a shift from in-person to postal voting and a temporary decline in overall voter turnout. The drop in turnout is due to inattentive voters missing the deadline to apply for an absentee ballot.

Citation

Jean-Victor Alipour and Valentin Lindlacher: “How Well-Intentioned Measures Have Unintended Consequences for Election Turnout,” EconPol Forum 25 (4), CESifo, Munich, 2024.